Hi ZS, assuming that whether or one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, post?) is independent from winning or losing on additional scratch ticket, you treat each event as a self-sufficient event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent races. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. So then the probability of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets when (if it is precisely what your issue is asking) should be (2/3)^30 = approximately 0.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 the actual 10 million, which depends upon 1 chance out of 192,307.

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